Kimishima: Nintendo looking to sell over 20 million Switch units in FY18, new ways to play, beef up DLC offerings - Nintendo Everything

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Kimishima: Nintendo looking to sell over 20 million Switch units in FY18, new ways to play, beef up DLC offerings

Posted on December 27, 2017 by (@NE_Brian) in News, Switch

Nintendo president Tatsumi Kimishima has provided an update on the sales situation surrounding Switch. Speaking with Kyoto Shimbun, Kimishima stated that the company would like to sell over 20 million units in the next fiscal year that begins in April.

Kimishima added that Nintendo hopes to increase momentum by releasing games that offer new ways to play. Another part of the strategy is to beef up DLC offerings so that users can play games for a longer period of time.

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  • nemo37

    I hope they continue their 1 major first party game per month (with around 2-3 evergreen titles per year) in 2018. I think having such a steady flow of content really helped Switch in 2017. I am a bit wary about what they mean regarding new ways to play. I certainly hope they are not banking on games like Wii Sports and Brain Age as having the same effect as they did in the mid-2000s for Wii and DS (as much as I would like sequels to those games, I do hope they are not going to end up being the main focus of the software library in 2018).

    I am skeptical that momentum can increase or even be maintained at a $300 price point though. I also believe that a title like Pokemon will be needed to reach those numbers, and I am not sure a Pokemon Switch game will be ready by 2018, considering going from 3DS to Switch will be a major jump in terms production quality (like going from DS to 3DS was and that took about 2 years).

    • awng782

      “New ways to play” certainly doesn’t mean “Wii Sports/Brain Age sequel”, that’s for sure.

      • nemo37

        Well Nintendo has sort of had a mixed history with this type of stuff. When they said new ways to play at beginning of the Wii U and 3DS’s life they were in part talking about sequels to these one-hit wonders. Even this year, they used “new ways to play” while describing 1-2 Switch. This why I am a bit skeptical about their intentions, particularly after 1-2 Switch performed well. Again don’t get me wrong these types of games are great in moderation (particularly for families), but too many of them (which typically come when Nintendo wants to focus on reading in non-gamers; which is a very difficult market to attract, especially now that there is so much competition from devices like smartphones and as such will most likely not work) can really create a negative perception around the system in gaming populations and it will most likely not really attract the non-gaming population that they want this type of software to bring over.

        I am skeptical most of the time, but to look at the glass half-full Nintendo has also used the term “new ways to play” when speaking about Splatoon 2, BoTW, and MK8:D; so I do hope that a good deal of this software is aimed at people that want to game.

        • awng782

          “New ways to play” doesn’t have to mean 1-2 Switch-esque party games. Arms fits that bill quite well, as that’s a game that can be expanded upon and actually has a future. 1-2 Switch will immediately be rendered irrelevant once Mario Party 11 is inevitably announced for the Switch.

          I think you really, really overestimate how much of a “negative perception” that a game like 1-2 Switch can/will have on the Switch.

          • Force

            Well, that hardly bothered them during the Wii era now did it? And that is their most successful console to date.

          • awng782

            Nintendo didn’t exactly flood the Wii with their own party games outside of Mario Party and Wii Party.

          • Force

            No, but there’s no denying that they had similar type of games, such as Wii-Sports and Mii-centric games.

    • Gabriel

      Do you really think that Game Freak only begun developing Pokémon Switch this year? When Pokémon HG/SS was being developed, Black and White were already being developed as well and Pokémon XY were discussed.

    • Gabriel

      At this rate, Pokémon Switch should be almost finished and the Sinnoh remakes are probably being developed as well. Game Freak is a multiprojects company, they’re always three steps ahead on the games production.

      • nemo37

        You are correct, and the next Pokemon is most likely in development. However, again going historically, even beyond 3DS, it typically takes around 2 years before Pokemon appears on a new generation system. The gap between the last GBC game (Crystal) and first GBA game (Rubby Saphire) was around two years. Similarly, the first DS Pokemon (Diamond and Pearl) was released 2 years after the last GBA (Pokemon Emerald). A similar pattern was observed between the last DS game (Black and White 2) and first 3DS game (X and Y).

        One other thing of note is that the last entries in a Pokemon game for a particular console is typically either a third version or a sequel. This is most likely done purposefully so that more developers can focus on the new platform and new game (in fact Game Freak confirmed something to the same effect when they said more seasoned veteran developers are working on Pokemon Switch while a younger team made up of newer developers are working on UltraSun and UltraMoon). Yet despite this, there has still been a two year gap between releases. While a late 2018 release is not out of the question (and would be ideal to contributing to reaching this 20 million goal that Nintendo has set), I personally look at past history and think a 2019 release is most likely.

        • Matt Evertson

          Speaking on terms of first release (even if it was japan first, in some cases), since gba it has ranged from 1.5 years to 2.5 years for Pokémon to hit a console.
          GBA March ‘01
          RS November ‘02
          DS November ‘04
          DP Sep ‘06
          3ds Feb ‘11
          XY October ‘13

          They’ve announced on twitter to expect Pokémon switch late 2018 or early 2019. Given the switch’s launch date of March 17, a November ‘18 release is completely plausible, especially given November’s now de-facto status as a major release month.

          Pair that with the fact the Tegra is easy to program for, and the fact they’ve openly said they had the junior employees working on the ultra sequels. That means that since sun and moon dropped in 16, the main guys have been working on this new game, not to mention that means the writers and pre-production guys as well.

    • Ghirahim

      One major first party game per month? Are you serious?

      • Force

        First or third, like Mario + Rabbids.

      • nemo37

        I should have said about one major release per month (mostly first-party; though of course second-party and third-party content will also play a role). My statement is not very outlandish because Nintendo managed to do this for Switch in 2017.

    • cloud36426

      I honestly don’t have an issue with the price. I paid $299 for my Vita. I honestly think the price is fine. I know a bunch of people who think it is worth $300. I also know that people value things differently. I look at it like you can’t buy a new gen iPad for $300, and the Switch has much better games! I know you can do more with the iPad right now, but the Switch can have functionality added in through updates. It has Hulu, and I’m sure Netflix is soon to come.

      • nemo37

        Personally as a portable gamer I don’t have an issue with price either. Moreover, Nintendo’s first-party content in addition to being able to play some third-party ports that I otherwise would not have had time for is a lot of value for me. But I am not sure if we represent the wider gaming market, hence my skepticism.

        • cloud36426

          Maybe not. I do know a number of people that haven’t played games since their teenage years are pumped about the Switch and do not see $300 as too expensive. If Nintendo would come on with Virtual Console I think that would cause these people to pull the trigger quickly. The appeal to kids is there too! Playing on the go in the car on trips and such. I can’t believe I paid $300 for my Vita. I already own more games on my Switch than my Vita, and I bought it launch week! My Vita is now my PS1 Final Fantasy machine.

    • Aline Piroutek

      I want Wii Sports back again. One of the best titles of the Wii(and the WiiU version was quite bland, the online was too sluggish for a sports game).

  • Something tells me that Nintendo has more heavy hitters lined for the new year. I’m expecting……

    Smash Bros For Switch/Deluxe
    Animal Crossing Switch
    Pikmin 4
    New IP/Franchise
    Skyward Sword or Link Between Worlds Remastered
    Pokémon Switch

    I do think that Metroid Prime 4 has a chance to come in 2018 but I wouldn’t count on it since all we saw was the logo but all in all 2018 is looking very good for Nintendo I they reach their 20 million goal

    • Jaxon Holden

      Fire Emblem is coming next year. And as for published content, Bayonetta 1 and Bayonetta 2 and Dragon Quest Builders and Octopath Traveller.

      And Kirby and Yoshi are confirmed as well.

      • Puffdaddy

        It saddens me that yall are forgetting about the new No More Heroes game releasing in 2018.

      • AJK

        I’m really looking forward to Yoshi. The Wiiu Yoshi is my favourite Wiiu exclusive.

        • R.Z.

          Best 2D platformer last gen as far as I’m concerned, a real gem !

          • AJK

            Absolutely. Very closely followed by Tropical Freeze

      • Force

        Holy moly! That’s a lot of Capcom support!… oh wait.

      • True but the games I mentioned are unannounced titles. Smash and Pokémon alone will guarantee high volume sales

    • DeltaPeng

      I doubt animal crossing for Switch would be ready (based on delays to AC mobile game).

      I think a Smash port is likely (hoping wiiU pro controllers are compatible), and Pikmin 4 has been sounding like it’s been close to complete for awhile so that too.

      Pokemon and FE to some extent seem unlikely, but possible, particularly since both franchises have been very popular as of late, I would guess dev teams have had more resources invested in them. The jump from 3DS to Switch is fairly large though, graphically and being a new system, so that could slow the process down for their debut Switch releases.

      Regardless of 1st party games, I do see a lot of indies jumping on board (as evidenced by the numerous game announcement articles which are increasingly appearing on this site).

      Since Nintendo online is rolling out, I hope with that comes some news of Virtual console, which if done and priced well could satisfactorily keep players busy and hyped.

      • R.Z.

        FE Switch has always had a 2018 release date though, and in this case I don’t think the generation gap is that much of a problem, the game mechanics will probably stay the same and the game will just be “prettyfied”.
        Pokémon though, unless they do a pretty underwhelming game (wouldn’t be the first time on the other hand), that should take more time.

        • Force

          I really hope they take more time with Pokemon. I’ve said it before, the Switch is their chance to really up their game, no longer limited by the 3DS hardware.

          • R.Z.

            GameFreak would probably need the computing power of an XBOXOneX to make a game that looks like it takes advantage of the Switch’s hardware …
            😛

          • Force

            😛 We’ll see if they even go fully ham on the Switch release.

          • amak11

            Bare in mind, Switch is not the 3DS successor

          • Aline Piroutek

            Switch is the sucessor of the PSP. Play anytime, everywhere.

          • Force

            That is open to interpretation.

        • DeltaPeng

          The FE 2018 I think that was more on the announcement trailer, so I’m skeptical until more gameplay shows up, but you’re right that it’s a smaller transition (minus getting used to Switch architecture) since most FE games the battle maps are SRPG fare, and so the main work would be HD art (which they’ve worked with in FE Heroes).

          The battle animations as of late (per 3DS) have been 3D and pan to 3D environments, so that would take some work, but arguably it’d be less work than a full on, interconnected 3D world (more of which Pokemon would probably do)

          So I agree and see FE Switch as a late 2018 being a fair possibility

  • awng782

    Hardware shipments during a platform’s 2nd full fiscal year on the market:
    Wii (FY2008): 26 million
    NDS (FY2006): 23.5 million
    PS2 (FY2002): 22.5 million

    If the Switch ships 20 million units during FY2018, it will go down in the record books as one of the industries fastest selling gaming systems ever.

  • Dumdum

    I just hope they sneak in a SMG remaster somewhere in there. Seems like they’ve already done most of the heavy lifting in making it run natively on Chinese Nvidia Shield units.

    • amak11

      Nvidia did all the port work on that, not Nintendo

  • dathip

    Its also the year where you will be paying for online…..

    • amak11

      At least it will be reasonably priced

  • Logical Q

    It’s good to see a president who can run the company effectively after so many years of mismangement from Iwata.

    • ben

      Yeah… I mean the Wii and the DS were total failures..

      • Aline Piroutek

        Wii and DS are my favorite consoles. Thanks for everything Iwata.

    • amak11

      Yet the Switch was Iwata’s last console, not Kimishimas

  • Pepperkeet

    If they plan to sell 20M units you know Pokemon is coming.
    Also “DLC” Means more season passes.

    • nemo37

      I was thinking more Mario Odyssey (Isle Delfino?) and maybe Splatoon 2 content, which I honestly would not mind.

    • DeltaPeng

      I’m kinda thinking pokemon would need a little more time to release since it’s such a big shift over to the Switch and HD…~maybe a late 2018 or if not I’d guess a spring/summer 2019. But then again, pokemon has been selling like hot cakes of late, so perhaps they upped their dev force.

      It’d be pretty amazing if they could pull off their estimated pre-pokemon though

  • Amethyst Gaze

    Easily can push that if they have the right cards to play. I always laugh when people think you can’t possibly have anything bigger to push after Mario and Zelda.

  • FutureFox

    Beefy!

  • Padre

    Not going to happen unless they announce few big titles, like F-Zero, Wave Race or Smash.

    • DeltaPeng

      Are there really all that many fans of F Zero and Wave Race? While I’ve heard for awhile that there’s a fan base, I am presuming it’s not as sizable as releasing games in other franchises first

      • Padre

        F-Zero sold 1mil, Wave Race sold 3mil, so I think so? Well, pick your favorites I guess, but Switch needs more Nintendo games to sell 20mil. Maybe Punch-Out then? Or Star Fox. 🙂

        • awng782

          None of the games you listed outside of Smash are big enough to determine whether the Switch can sell 20 million units next year or not.

    • Tlink7

      Smash is leagues ahead in popularity to the other two franchises you listed lol. Probably the only reason most people even know what F-Zero is, is because Captain Falcon is in Smash 😛

      What’s a Wave Race?

      • Padre

        Wave Race rocks. 🙂 Smash is good, but for me its always just an Outfoxies clone. 😀

        • Tlink7

          Haha, well tastes and all that I suppose. Have a nice holiday season 😀

    • AJK

      One word. Pokemon. Fzero is one of Nintendo’s lowest selling franchises. I would love a new fzero, but it would be crazy to think that fzero sells consoles.

      • nemo37

        I think games like Animal Crossing, 2D Mario (although perhaps one that takes a break from the NSMB format), Smash, 2D Zelda, Luigi’s Mansion in combination with some medium tier franchises like Kirby, Yoshi, Donkey Kong, Fire Emblem, Metroid, etc can be quite powerful.

        • R.Z.

          As an “ecosystem”, they can definitely be.
          I don’t think any of these have the raw power of Mario or Zelda on their own though.

    • amak11

      Yeah no. F-Zero’s last title was GameCube, and Dev’d by Sega. Wave Race’s last game, blue storm only sold roughly 600k

      • Aline Piroutek

        Actually the last was the FZERO Climax for GBA.

    • Aline Piroutek

      F-ZERO, Xenoblade, Pikmin, Metroid, Golden Sun, Punch Out!, Earthbound, Wave Race, Chibi Robo, Custom Robo, Eternal Darkness, even Zelda aren’t big sellers like Pokémon. They’re all niche(I like all of them).

    • R.Z.

      Aside from Smash,these wouldn’t sell anything …

  • JacksonLOVESNintendo

    Hey, I mean, TONS of people bought Switches for Christmas, so they hype is definitely there, but we NEED a January Direct/Switch Presentation 2018 soon because while there are a fair number of games coming next year, we basically know nothing regarding release dates. Also I feel like we need that one BIG game to really excite Switch owners and non Switch owners. Maybe it will be Pokémon or Metroid, maybe it will be new.
    Regardless, Nintendo absolutely killed it in 2017, and I’m excited for 2018.

    • TDude73

      Nintendo will announce the Direct when 2018 arrives. Have patience, Jackson.

      • JacksonLOVESNintendo

        Heh, don’t worry pal, I’m all good.

  • DeltaPeng

    New ways to play…?
    Party game “2-3 Switch” confirmed I see ;p

  • R.Z.

    I want DLC for Mario Odyssey !
    Please !
    Please !