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NX

The rise and fall of Nintendo’s stocks over the last couple of years has been interesting, to say the least. After declining for years following the tepid response to the Wii U, shares have been surging lately once Nintendo entered the mobile gaming market. The company’s various smartphone ventures, including Super Mario Run and Pokemon GO (despite Nintendo’s limited involvement with that one), caused tremendous increases to Nintendo’s stock values.

However, it seems like shareholders are excited by more than just mobile news – following last night’s announcement of the reveal trailer for the NX, Nintendo’s shares have risen by 4.6%, which added more than $1 billion in market value.

Of course, the is just the prelude to the main event. Will the actual NX reveal see shares rise even more, or will they drop back down?

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When new systems hit the market, some developers and publishers are inclined to bring over older projects. With FAST Racing Neo and NX, however, there are no such plans. You can purchase FAST Racing Neo from the Wii U eShop where it’s likely to stay.

Shin’en was asked about the possibility of a FAST Racing Neo port on NX in an interview with Nintendoomed. On the subject, the studio said:

“For the Wii U we think FAST + DLC is just perfect and certainly one of the best games you could get there. If we would do another FAST game on a new platform we would not simply do a port. We would try to look at the platform to see what could be done beyond the current game.”

That takes care of that! We’ll see Shin’en projects on NX one day, but when we do, it probably won’t be a port of FAST Racing Neo. And if/when the FAST series returns, it should be something more on the new side.

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As we get closer to the launch of the NX, more and more rumors and supposed leaks start popping up with very little official info floating around. The recent Eurogamer leak seems to have opened the floodgates though, as several other outlets claimed to have sources confirming the leak that the NX will be both a handheld and a home console.

One of these outlets was MCV – and today they released another report with some supposed new info on the NX. According to “sources close to Nintendo”, Game Freak will release a Pokemon game on the NX within 6 months of the platform’s debut. Will this be a port of Sun & Moon, a spin-off game or a “proper” new Pokemon game? MCV doesn’t offer any more information.

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Yesterday, GameStop held its quarterly financial conference call. Executive VP of business strategy Mike Hogan actually weighed in a bit on NX, and spoke about the potential sales the console could see in its first couple of years in comparison to Wii U and Wii.

Here’s what was mentioned:

Nintendo has confirmed that they will be introducing a new console in early 2017. So let’s take a look at the potential for just that one new console. Once again, we’re not projecting. We are simply looking at the potential for the new console in comparison to prior consoles.

Should the new NX perform only slightly better than the Wii U, it would generate 2.7 billion dollars in incremental sales over the first two years. Should it perform at even half of the level of the Wii, it would generate 7.5 billion units of incremental sales over that time frame. You can of course apply GameStop’s market share to estimate the impact on GameStop’s sales.

While it’s too early to offer definitive projections, we are monitoring the situation closely in terms of product availability and features, consumer awareness and purchase intent. We plan to provide updates this quarter.

Koei Tecmo has confirmed that they are developing for the NX. The company did not state what exactly they are working on, though. Koei Tecmo has recently developed several titles for Nintendo systems, such as Hyrule Warriors and Fatal Frame: Maiden of Black Water.

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In the Q&A following Nintendo’s recent financial results briefing, Nintendo CEO Satoru Iwata already clarified that Nintendo won’t talk about their upcoming smartphone games at this year’s E3. In addition, don’t expect to hear specifics about Nintendo’s next gaming system, codenamed “NX” or their Quality of Life platform either. Iwata said the following:

We do not plan on talking specifics about the NX until 2016. Presently, we cannot talk about the time period when it will go on sale or what it’s like. Because we are calling it a ‘new concept,’ we are not thinking of this as a ‘simple replacement’ for the 3DS or the Wii U.

Incidentally, we’re getting various questions for this year’s E3, like ‘Won’t there be a NX announcement?’, ‘Will there be a presentation on smart devices?’, or ‘Will there be more on the quality of life platform?’ However, since we understand that E3 is an event for dedicated video game machines, we do not intend to discuss the smart devices as well as quality of life.

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